Showing posts with label Jobst. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jobst. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Once in a lifetime? JOBST-ALL IN!

 http://networkingcapital.blogspot.com/

I have monitored Jobstreet.com since 2 years back, but there's no good entry point for me. As this stock is actively monitored by most fund managers. When opportunity arise, the price is quickly taken. I can say its P/E has all the while be around 20.
But recently SEEK's offering of takeover Jobstreet Pte Ltd, which includes most of Jobstreet.com sites in Asean countries offer us an opportunity to relook.


First, the offering is around RM1,740mil, company offer around RM1,700mil payback to shareholders via dividend. According to proforma IV , it will become around 707,953,000 share outstanding after some share offering to gain back Jobstreet filipino's minority, and also some ESOS shares.

Thus, by calculation, it is near RM2.40 on this dividend paying back to shareholders after the deal goes through. Recently, it has announced another dividend of 0.5sens.

Well, the question lies in where is the golden goose? Look at what are assets left over after takeover offering by SEEK.

Do some studies, refer to pg100.

Actually, Wisma Jobstreet bring my attention most, because it is around prime area, and it is physical object I can see and touch. Wisma Jobstreet in Sultan Ismail valued RM14mil during 2011. So by dividing RM14mil/707.95mil(proforma IV S/O)=RM0.02/share

Building alone worth us the cost of investing now @ RM2.42. Look at listed companies shares they own:-

I have done some background check on their prices and also earning quality of these companies.Out of all, 104 Corporation in Taiwan provide stable profit, same to 1010 printing Group. A quick study on prices, I've valued all these companies near RM129mil. Dividing this to Proforma IV, RM0.18 is my valuation on assets. Also, 1 thing to note is Cinderella Media is undergoing some corporate action of dividend in species to distribute their 1010 printing shareholding. Also, Cinderella Media's recent profit is deteriorating as well, thus I would rather not give it any value moving forward.

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One important thing to note is company is not allowed to be involved in the same industry of Jobstreet.com-which is recruitment and some related businesses once the deal went through for 2 years. Thus the minor Jobstreet.com I think either will have to cease operation or be sold soon.

And company will fall into PN17 for sure without any core businesses while they have sometimes to find a new core businesses for the company. The name "Jobstreet" cannot be used also in future as SEEK bought the copyright of Jobstreet also.

But looking back at the founders' profile, I have confident this management can create more value to shareholders in future. And to be honest, I think there will be nothing to lose even buying at current price. If deal does not go through, we still keep a growing company, expanding into the regional almost covering whole Asia except in China which is no present yet, with some minor efforts in Japan, Thailand etc.

If deals goes through, you have the building as the back-up. If management fails to seek any core business(which I think impossible), they will sell all things and return the funds to shareholders. Building alone worth RM0.02. So it is almost risk free now.

Most encouraging part came on below announcement:-
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1673365
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1665889

"Subject to an agreement on any adjusted terms of the JobStreet SSA with SEEK Asia Investments Pte Ltd and fulfilment of all conditions precedent under the JobStreet SSA, the Proposed Disposals are expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2014."


"The Board had on 12 May 2014 announced that the CCS is further investigating the competitive impact of the Proposed Disposals in Singapore and entering into a Phase 2 review.
The CCS has on its media release dated 14 May 2014 announced that a Phase 2 review can take up to 24 weeks to complete and at the end of the Phase 2 review will decide whether to issue a favourable or unfavourable decision.
As at the date of this announcement, the Phase 2 review is still ongoing and is not anticipated to be completed by 1 July 2014. Accordingly, without prejudice to JobStreet's rights under the JobStreet SSA, JobStreet and SEEK Asia Investments Pte Ltd are in discussions to agree on an extension to the Long Stop Date under the JobStreet SSA and an adjustment to the consideration given the improved operational performance of JobStreet since a valuation of MYR1,730 million was agreed.
Subject to agreement on any adjusted terms of the JobStreet SSA with SEEK Asia Investments Pte Ltd and fulfillment of all conditions precedent under the JobStreet SSA, the Proposed Disposals are now expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2014. Further developments on the above matter will be announced to Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad in due course."

Monday, July 7, 2014

投资没有早知道

美国人万众一心,为今年的独立日(7月4日)带来了一份珍贵的礼物。
就在独立日前夕,美国道琼斯指数7月3日收1万7068点,创造了历史最高点。
这之后,是套利还是继续冲前,我们不知道。我们更关心的是,破纪录时,你在哪里?
哦,是了,我们要说的是,如果富时大马隆综指破1900点时,你在哪里?历史性的2000点,你又在哪里?
早在几年前,黄金十年专栏成立时,说的就是这十年黄金时段。
当时,我们不敢妄自尊大,只是希望平平稳稳的以至少7%的平均回酬度过每一年,缔造十年双倍回酬的历史。
当我们开始时,股市也是在挑战历史新高,3年半以后,股市还是在挑战历史新高,巧合吗?
这绝不是巧合,这是我们在当时拿出勇气出来投资的成果。
如果创新高后,就是探低,那么,这个股市,也未免太容易预测了。
不管是高还是低,只有不停的调整脚步,才能与时并进。
有人说,既然已失去了1200点到1900点的机会(因为他一直看坏股市),那么为了不犯错,只有继续看坏市场。这样一来,总有一天他会预测正确。
不管牛熊守住市场
我们觉得,争论点不在于你对还是错,而是在于你的资产或财富能否与时增长。
如果他坚持下去,4年后股市真的垮了,他是否真能把握到机会买入?或是依然在预测何时最低,酌量入场?
很有经验的投资高手告诉我们,不管牛市还是熊市,他们从来就没有离开市场,信不信由你。
投资组合跟进
CLIQ能源凭单表现最差
前一周说到表现最差的CLIQ能源凭单,有读者询问,明知这只股票不属于基本投资型,为何还要冒险投资?这似乎更像投机,乖离了价值投资的定义。
更糟糕的是,还大量购入了寿命甚短的凭单,3年的寿命已过了1年多,很快大限已至,看你怎样个死法!
看来,CLIQ能源庸庸碌碌过来一年,已经引起SPAC股投资者的大为不满,也让一些不看好SPAC的投资者额手称快。
让我们先澄清前面那番说词。首先,我们要去掉“明知”这两个字。投资世界只讲风险和回酬,没有“明知”还是“暗知”。
其次,我们买股票,目的是赚钱,或者达到比通货膨胀更高的回酬率。说到成为价值投资的表表者,健诚或许有这个念头,我绝对没有兴趣。
在股票行阅尽行行色色人物,想要成为价值投资一代宗师的人少之又少,很多其实是和我们的想法一样:赚钱,赚比一般投资更好的回酬。
因此,别看到一个专栏,就把价值投资的大帽子盖上去,是类高帽,送给大师如陈鼎武或冷眼等前辈好了。
顺带补充一下,买入CLIQ能源或凭单,健诚其实是始作俑者,他的激进心态,在我看来,价值投资派系里他其实不入流。
正确机率多才能成功
所以,总括一句,我们只是平民散户,通过本身对投资的喜好和研究,希望(努力)在股市中挣到不错的回酬,什么大师专家,受之有愧,不必对号入座。
不论我们做什么决定,都会诚实的面对结果。投资组合不是考试,不能每次要求一百分。
这三年多来,我们确然做了一些低级错误,不过也做了更多的正确决定,所以我们才能获得如此不差的成绩。
现实生活里,错和对总是交叉发生,每次都做对,不叫“成功”,那是“完美”,是每个人追求的境界(却不大可能达到)。
成功的投资者,只需要把正确的投资机率更多发生就是了。
若影响生活应卖掉
奉劝各位读者,如果一项投资过于激进,甚至干扰到你的起居饮食,比如不小心在40仙买到CLIQ能源凭单,看到如今的股价,睡又不安稳,吃东西也没滋味,那么,建议你忍痛卖掉它,转买合成统一还好。
为了利益而失去健康或者人生乐趣,怎么值得?
最后,说回我们对CLIQ能源的决定:我们还没放弃它;组合回酬至今还有12%,如果它近来有所表现,算是锦上添花。
免责声明
除了股票基本面,本文内容纯属虚构,所有提及股项纯属学术上或经验上的建议,读者若有兴趣投资,应该自行深入研究或询问股票经纪才决定,盈亏自负。我们鼓励通过正确的投资方式创造财富,文中的建议,都有一个完整的买卖纪录。
草根牛马