Friday, March 10, 2017

數據不會“說謊”,白銀值得持有的三大理由

匯金網訊: 白銀市場的需求正在回升,儘管目前水平與2016年7月觸及的高點仍相距甚遠。美國白銀期貨市場顯示白銀受到投資者熱捧,自2015年中期以來,中國持有白銀的數量也迅速攀升。此外,摩根大通也在積極囤積白銀。
【理由一、生產商持有的白銀凈空頭頭寸攀升】
美國白銀期貨市場顯示白銀受到投資者熱捧,生產商持有的白銀期貨的總頭寸達到了19.76萬手合約,而去年八月觸及的記錄高位是22.45萬手合約。
數據不會“說謊”,白銀值得持有的三大理由
(生產商持有白銀凈頭寸)
截至2017年2月28日,生產商持有的白銀凈空頭頭寸達到了54.7%,這是自2016年初開始的白銀上漲周期中最大的比例。生產商持有大量的凈空頭頭寸相當於投機者持有大量的凈多頭頭寸,這推高了白銀價格。
而有趣的是,白銀價格較2016年8月初下跌了11.4%,現貨白銀目前交投於17.81美元/盎司。
但是兩個跡象顯示了投資者對白銀的需求正在升溫:生產商持有的凈空頭頭寸較去年八月高(54.7% VS 48.6%),投機者持有的凈多頭頭寸高於去年八月(48.3% VS 44.5%)。
數據不會“說謊”,白銀值得持有的三大理由
(投機者持有的凈多頭頭寸)
四家最大的生產商持有的白銀期貨凈空頭頭寸自2014年底以來一直處於上升趨勢,而目前幾乎接近這一周期中的觸及的最高水平。
數據不會“說謊”,白銀值得持有的三大理由
(四家最大的生產商持有的白銀期貨凈空頭頭寸)
【理由二:中國持有白銀的庫存迅速攀升】
自2015年中期以來,中國持有白銀的數據迅速攀升。截至2017年1月底,上海期貨交易所持有的白銀庫存達到紀錄水平6410萬盎司,而這一數據自那時起持續增加,目前已經攀升至6870萬盎司。
數據不會“說謊”,白銀值得持有的三大理由
(上海期貨交易所白銀庫存)
【理由三:國際大投行摩根大通積極囤積白銀】
此外,摩根大通也在積極囤積白銀。自2016年底以來,摩根大通增持了940萬盎司白銀。這對白銀走勢發出更加積極的信號。
數據不會“說謊”,白銀值得持有的三大理由
不過北美的投資者似乎對白銀的熱情減弱。iShares白銀信託基金,世界上最大的私人白銀持有者,其公布的報告顯示,自2017年初以來,白銀持有量下降了860萬盎司。
 來源: 匯金網

Friday, February 10, 2017

[Sponsored Infographic] The Berkshire of Malaysia - Insas Berhad

[Sponsored Infographic] The Berkshire of Malaysia - Insas Berhad
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/donkeystocks/115492.jsp


Insas Berhad, which is the parent company of several notable industry key players, such as Inari Amertron, Ho Hup Construction, SYF Resources and Omesti Berhad. Insas is arguably the mini Berkshire in Malaysia.

Tuesday, January 3, 2017

The building of EKOVEST & What are the plans ahead for Ekovest

Making strides: Lim with the KL River City project, which he envisions to turn into a thriving community like Yarra of Melbourne.
Making strides: Lim with the KL River City project, which he envisions to turn into a thriving community like Yarra of Melbourne.
Datuk Seri Lim Keng Cheng has been working alongside his uncle, the billionaire Tan Sri Lim Kang Hoo, for decades. But this active businessman is drawing attention on his own now.
DATUK Seri Lim Keng Cheng was born in Jalan Gombak and studied at Setapak High School. Now, he has his eyes set on transforming the Sentul-Gombak-Setapak area, which he says is still underdeveloped. He aims to make the area into a liveable place like Melbourne.
This 54-year-old Sentul homeboy (who goes by the initials KC), the managing director of Ekovest Bhd, has rebuilt a Chinese primary school and a high school there.
Until recently, KC has not made himself distinctively known to the corporate world. His name did not pop into view when the media wrote about Ekovest and Iskandar Waterfront City Bhd (IWC). Only Tan Sri Lim Kang Hoo, the Ekovest executive chairman and KC’s uncle, was mentioned.
Yet, KC is the driving force behind Ekovest, which is Kuala Lumpur City Hall’s project delivery partner for the River of Life project and DUKE highways.

Early victory: Lim with a picture of a project he undertook in his early years in Sabah. He says he and his uncle Tan Sri Lim Kang Hoo made their first RM100mil while they were in Sabah.
Early victory: Lim with a picture of a project he undertook in his early years in Sabah. He says he and his uncle Tan Sri Lim Kang Hoo made their first RM100mil while they were in Sabah.
He had also helped to build up Johor-based Tebrau Teguh Bhd (its name was changed to IWC in August 2014), which is in property development, construction and property management services.
Indeed, KC has been in the construction, property and infrastructure line for more than 30 years.
“I am a business partner of Tan Sri Lim Kang Hoo. Before Ekovest, we were already doing business together,” declares KC.
“But since he is my uncle and executive chairman of Ekovest, and holds 32% stake in the company, while I have only 6.12%, I should give him due respects,” adds KC at the outset of a recent interview with Sunday Star.
Yes, for too long, this trilingual and energetic man who has worked alongside Kang Hoo quietly to jointly build up their companies, including Ekovest and IWC. However, many are not aware of this fact.

KC’s role in Ekovest

Acknowledgement of KC’s role in Ekovest is stated in its latest company profile. Under the section Capable Management Team, the company writes: “Executive chairman Tan Sri Datuk Lim Kang Hoo and managing director Datuk Seri Lim Keng Cheng have been managing the company since (its) inception”.
Venturing into Sabah together with his uncle while he was 25 in the early 1980s, this neat-looking man proudly claims he was responsible for the building infrastructure in Felda Sahabat, twice the size of Singapore.
“We made our first RM100mil in Sabah,” says KC, as he shows photographs of the Sabah projects in his office that carry his footprint.
“I was born here, in Batu 4, Jalan Gombak, in a house with number 229A. However, there was no road linking my old house to the main road then. Kang Hoo also lived there then.
“The Sentul-Gombak-Setapak area is still an underdeveloped area. I want to transform this into a liveable place. This is why I want to do a lot of development and CSR work here,” says KC in Ekovest’s office, which stands obliquely opposite the area where he was born.
“The old house is still there. We – including Kang Hoo – still celebrate Chinese New Year there. But now, we have already built a road to connect with the main road,” adds KC as he flashes his handphone to show the location of his old house.
Due to his humble background and vast experience in infrastructure, KC says he could plan cost efficient and workable highways.
In this regard, he has contributed significantly to the success of the Duta-Ulu Kelang Expressway (DUKE). He is also instrumental in convincing Kuala Lumpur City Hall (DBKL) to grant further concessions to Ekovest to extend the DUKE expressways, named as DUKE-3.
DUKE-1 and DUKE-2 are providing alternative routes for road users and have served as an efficient traffic dispersal system in and around Kuala Lumpur to relief traffic congestion.
Toll collection and recent sale of a 40% stake in DUKE-1 and DUKE-2 have boosted the earnings of Ekovest and this is reflected in the rise of its share price. On Thursday, Ekovest share closed at RM2.35 – which was at a six years’ high.
Another of KC’s passionate project is the River of Life project, which involves the improvement of water quality and beautification works along the river from Gombak to the Kuala Lumpur city centre.
Ekovest, which has land-bank and property development projects such as EkoRiver Centre and Ekovst Tower along the river, has on its plate a total GDV of RM7.8bil when all the planned projects are completed.
“My vision is to convert the entire run-down area into a river city with waterfront property development and leisure activities. It will be a place for people to work, live, jog and cycle, cruise in water taxi like the Yarra River of Melbourne.
“Our vision of creating a world class river front development along Gombak River is gaining momentum and we are looking to deliver some of the most vibrant commercial and residential properties in this area.”
According to KC, multi-billionaire Kang Hoo – ranked as one of the top 30 tycoons in Malaysia by Forbes Asia in 2014 – is focussing his attention on IWC and the development of Bandar Malaysia.
KC is charged with taking care of Ekovest.
In a two-hour interview, KC talks enthusiastically about Ekovest projects, his vision and education. Below are excerpts:
Q: What is the latest on DUKE highways? Why are these highways so successful?
A: We have a DUKE Master Plan, with a total of ten functional and cost-effective highways. We are developing the third one. Our planning team will keep submitting proposals on future DUKE projects as and when the need arises.
Within this plan, we provide one tolled road system on top of an existing council road to give an alternative route for drivers who are willing to pay to avoid traffic jams.
We have studied the benefits to be enjoyed by road users and planned according to their needs. This is the success story of our DUKE.
The DUKE concept was based on a study done by JICA (Japan International Cooperation Agency) in the 1980s to fill in the gap in highway connectivity. We submitted our plan to DBKL and got the approval.

There are many highways all over Kuala Lumpur, but they are not connected. We fill in this gap and build “highway connectors”.
But we also innovate to add value to our highways. For example, we are building DUKE-2’s integrated park-and-ride facility at the Segambut Toll Plaza that will allow DUKE’s users to park their cars and hitch a KTM ride at a brand new KTM (train) station, which is two stops away from KL Sentral.
Known as Segambut Rest and Service Area, this park-and-ride complex will be able to house 4,000 cars. This will ensure fewer cars move into and out of the city centre. Hence, it will reduce traffic congestion. (The new KTM train station is expected to be completed in 2018)
Your property development projects appear to concentrate in the Sentul area.
I was born here. My original home is still here. There was no access road from Jalan Gombak to my old house, yet the postman could find it.
My father passed away when I was 14 years old. My study was funded by Lee Foundation. For this reason, I have rebuilt the Lee Rubber primary school building in this area. From road construction and property development to the River of Life project, I hope to create a liveable Sentul-Gombak-Setapak region The whole city will be like Melbourne and Vancouver.
All these years, you have been overshadowed by Tan Sri Lim Kang Hoo, although you are a property man in your own right. Is this observation accurate?
Ekovest, with total staff of 2,000, is managed by a committee. No single person makes the decision.
My uncle Kang Hoo holds a 32% stake in the company while I have 6.12%. As he is my uncle and the company’s executive chairman, I should give him due respects. When my father died, the small family construction outfit run by him was taken over by Kang Hoo. I started helping him when I was in high school.
When I was 25, we went to Sabah together and worked on the infrastructure of Felda Sahabat. In Lahad Datu, we provided 2,500 jobs to the gun-wielding unemployed and helped solve the social problems there.
While in Sabah, we took over a RM2 company called Ekovest. That’s where we made our first RM100mil for Ekovest. After that, we went to Labuan to build the offshore financial centre. Kang Hoo and I were business partners before Ekovest, and are still partners.
Now, Kang Hoo places his focus on IWC and Bandar Malaysia investment, while I take charge of Ekovest projects.

What are the plans ahead for Ekovest?
We will keep inviting institutional funds, such as EPF (Employees’ Provident Fund), to be our investors and strategic partners. These partners will stay and grow with the company. They will become our strong pillars.
Recently, we let go of a 40% stake in Duke-1 and Duke-2 to EPF for RM1.13bil. This will pave way for future partnerships.
We will do the same for future DUKEs and KL River City project. The funds obtained will be used to reward shareholders in the form of special dividend and finance new ventures.
(Ekovest has announced that it is distributing a special dividend to shareholders from the proceeds of its sale to EPF).
We have also set the target to become the top 30 listed companies on Bursa Malaysia within five years. This means that our market capitalisation has to hit RM10bil within five years, from the current RM2bil. It is achievable based on our growth.
But while doing so, we must maintain our policy to give out dividends every year. Since 1993, we have been profitable. This is something we are proud of.
We also believe in doing CSR work. We have given Chong Hwa Independent High School a total of RM2mil and next year another RM1mil. For the Government’s SM Chong Hwa, we have given RM3mil.
How do you see Ekovest’s future financial performance?
We are doing very well. Our order book is very healthy, with total outstanding external order book of RM4.89bil as at November 2016.
For the current financial year, we won the biggest-ever project (DUKE-3) worth RM3.74bil, with a 50-year concession to collect tolls. That means our construction segment will be busy for the next three and a half years.
In November 2016, we have also been awarded two contracts to improve and beautify the Klang and Gombak rivers.
The results for the year ending June 2017 will be much better. You can see from our revenue growth. It’s almost doubled in 2016. There is also vast improvement in net profit. (Ekovest posted a revenue of RM794mil and net profit of RM155.4mil for the year ending June 2016, compared to a revenue of RM438mil and net profit of RM18.5mil in previous year).

Does the high-level connection of Tan Sri Lim help in any way to obtain projects?
Ekovest is run professionally.
Based on our technical expertise and our ability to see what people need, we won these public transport projects. There is no objection from people when our projects are displayed to gauge the public reaction. This is because our projects fill in the gap and we collect toll to help future projects.
It is not political connections that help us get jobs. We think out of the box using blue ocean strategy, hence, we came out with the master plan for DUKE highways.
If it was political link, we would have risen sky high long ago.
We will self-create and generate income. In DUKE, we carry out the planning and infrastructure for the government, create income for future highways.
Nowadays, it is impossible for you to bulldoze through projects. You need to do surveys and carry out public engagement. No one has objected to our DUKE highway projects so far.

What is your vision for Ekovest?
I want to create a sustainable city, not just high-rise only. I want to innovate to create value. I also want other people to learn from us when I give media interviews.

2017 stock picks

Reshuffle my portfolio to match 2017 picks soon.

Stock Name

 
Last Price
Change
Shares
Market Value
%
Average Cost
Per Share
Unrealized Gain
%
Day Gain
%
What If Analysis   AEONCR MYR 14.36 -0.02 1,000 14,360.00 14.40% 14,394.79 14.394 -34.79 -0.24% -20.00 -0.14%
What If Analysis   BORNOIL MYR 0.18 0.00 38,000 6,840.00 6.86% 6,857.65 0.180 -17.65 -0.26% 0.00 0.00%
What If Analysis   DATAPRP MYR 0.135 0.00 40,000 5,400.00 5.41% 5,416.20 0.135 -16.20 -0.30% 0.00 0.00%
What If Analysis   EKOVEST MYR 2.38 +0.03 6,000 14,280.00 14.32% 14,314.68 2.385 -34.68 -0.24% +180.00 1.28%
What If Analysis   FLBHD MYR 1.60 -0.01 6,000 9,600.00 9.62% 9,623.23 1.603 -23.23 -0.24% -60.00 -0.62%
What If Analysis   HEXZA MYR 0.925 +0.005 5,500 5,087.50 5.10% 5,103.60 0.927 -16.10 -0.32% +27.50 0.54%
What If Analysis   JCBNEXT MYR 1.70 0.00 3,000 5,100.00 5.11% 5,116.10 1.705 -16.10 -0.31% 0.00 0.00%
What If Analysis   MMCCORP MYR 2.33 +0.02 2,000 4,660.00 4.67% 4,674.96 2.337 -14.96 -0.32% +40.00 0.87%
What If Analysis   MSC MYR 3.93 -0.01 7,500 29,475.00 29.55% 29,545.62 3.939 -70.62 -0.24% -75.00 -0.25%
What If Analysis   TIENWAH MYR 1.76 -0.03 2,800 4,928.00 4.94% 4,943.05 1.765 -15.05 -0.30% -84.00 -1.68%
$CASH
10.120.01%
Total
99,740.62100.00%
+8.500.01%

My stock pick results 2016

As per closing 2016, hopefully another good year on 2017.
I target 25% and above every year in order to double my money every 4 years
Stock Name

 
Last Price
Change
Shares
Market Value
%
Average Cost
Per Share
Unrealized Gain
%
Day Gain
%
What If Analysis   AIRASIA MYR 2.29 +0.01 10,000 22,900.00 17.36% 12,930.79 1.293 +9,969.21 77.10% +100.00 0.44%
What If Analysis   FAVCO MYR 2.38 -0.01 1,900 4,522.00 3.43% 5,222.13 2.748 -700.13 -13.41% -19.00 -0.42%
What If Analysis   GKENT MYR 3.04 -0.01 6,250 19,000.00 14.41% 8,170.24 1.307 +10,829.76 132.55% -62.50 -0.33%
What If Analysis   IWCITY MYR 0.805 -0.02 10,000 8,050.00 6.10% 10,124.93 1.012 -2,074.93 -20.49% -200.00 -2.42%
What If Analysis   KESM MYR 9.85 +0.02 5,000 49,250.00 37.34% 26,011.77 5.202 +23,238.23 89.34% +100.00 0.20%
What If Analysis   MJPERAK MYR 0.26 0.00 27,000 7,020.00 5.32% 8,931.30 0.330 -1,911.30 -21.40% 0.00 0.00%
What If Analysis   MUDAJYA MYR 0.91 +0.005 5,000 4,550.00 3.45% 5,916.36 1.183 -1,366.36 -23.09% +25.00 0.55%
What If Analysis   PRKCORP MYR 1.67 0.00 6,000 10,020.00 7.60% 15,998.00 2.666 -5,978.00 -37.37% 0.00 0.00%
What If Analysis   WTK MYR 0.995 +0.005 5,000 4,975.00 3.77% 6,617.58 1.323 -1,642.58 -24.82% +25.00 0.51%
$CASH
1,605.501.22%
Total
131,892.50100.00%
-31.50-0.03%

Wednesday, December 28, 2016

DECEMBER 2016 TIN PRICES

DATEUSDRMEXCHANGE RATETURNOVER
121,00093,8494.469035
221,15094,1494.451535
521,05093,7364.453043
621,20094,2704.446736
721,05093,4094.437530
821,05093,3004.432328
921,05093,1614.425727
12CLOSEDCLOSEDCLOSEDCLOSED
1321,10093,4144.427246
1421,23094,2804.440937
1521,15094,4394.465242
1621,20094,8704.475039
1921,17094,8104.478539
2020,95093,7934.477050
2120,95093,8254.478539
2220,90093,5504.476142
2320,80093,1224.477060
26CLOSEDCLOSEDCLOSEDCLOSED
2720,80093,1364.477728
2820,800N.Y.AN.Y.A58
Source : The Kuala Lumpur Tin Market (KLTM)
N.Y.A : Not Yet Available
The Exchange rate are from MSC's daily bank rates

Friday, December 2, 2016

錢正在變成紙


當今社會,不論學什麼,有兩個必須懂,一個是互聯網,一個是金融。

不懂互聯網,就是新時代文盲,不懂金融,這輩子就只能賺死錢拿死工資。不會錢生錢,錢放在銀行只能貶值不會給你增值,更追不過通貨膨脹。唯有互聯網+金融是必然趨勢,沒有與時俱進,就只能被社會淘汰。人的一生會遇到很多人,會影響到我們,不斷成長。想要在網路上賺錢一定要找對平臺,跟對人,做對事,成就自己又能幫到朋友。所謂一個人有錢不如讓自己變得值錢。值錢之前我們求別人資源,值錢之後是別人求你。

如果你的夢想是創建屬於自己的基金,但是不知道該如何邁出第一步;如果你已經有了一個優秀的投資團隊,都很有信心,但對如何創業卻沒有清晰的認知;甚至是,如果你已經擁有了自己的私募公司,發行過基金產品,但是你卻不知道如何打造個人和公司品牌,不知道如何持續吸引投資人,不知道如何讓自己的公司更上一層樓。這樣的問題,我們在這幾年接觸到了很多。我們甚至打造了幾支基金來助一臂之力。但,這並不夠。如何才能解決這些私募創業團隊的海量需求?讓他們更專注自己的投資領域,從而更好的起步?


FDT就是在這樣的想法下誕生的。我們希望FDT能夠讓優秀的投資顧問獲得更加成熟、完善的投資理念;讓優秀的投顧團隊專業、高效的建立基金公司、發行產品;讓已經擁有私募基金的創始人能更好的打造個人和公司品牌、拓寬融資管道、與投資人建立良好關係。






2013年以來,我們看到了房地產市場一輪又一輪的暴升,房價升幅超過了大多數人的想像,多少沒買房的白領感歎,房價一升幾年的辛苦工作都白乾了,等於給房子白白打了幾年的工。房價暴升的主要原因之一就是負利率,因為錢越來越不值錢,居民都不會願意存款,為了避免自己的財富縮水,二十餘年的市場發展中,只有房地產依然保持著相對的穩定的保值增值比例,所以多餘的資金除了房地產似乎無處可去。

負利率時代,其實受到影響最小的應該是富裕階層,他們的收入多來自於資本利得,並且一般其負債都較高,因此,受到負利率的衝擊最小。

但是,受到影響最大的就是打工一族,即是你!工薪族因為其收入主要來源是工資收入,他們的生活往往是由其工資來決定的,這就意味著他們難以通過足夠的資本手段來提高收入。

在負利率的狀態下,會導致他們的收入差距與高收入群體越來越大,其可支配收入逐漸減小,消費能力逐漸降低,生活水準也就不可避免的進入下降階段。並且隨著降息降准的預期進一步加大,工薪族對於高風險投資的意願還會下降,這個時候,對於工薪族而言他們資產將會無法逃脫的進入下降通道,貧窮似乎就無限Loop在眼前了。

窮人到銀行存款,富人到銀行貸款。結果窮人越來越窮,富人越來越富!這告訴我們:把錢存銀行是蝕本的理財方式,收益卻少得可憐。貨幣面值所代表的購買力並不穩定,需要通過當時所能購買商品的價值來衡量。如果資金不能通過投資等方式獲得持續且較大的收益,那就意味著財產在不知不覺地流失!






多投資自己
面對著負利率時代的來臨,在保證日常開支,保證未來養老、醫療、子女教育等準備金儲備的前提下,通過消費改善生活也許是一種生活方式的選擇。很多人認為,在這樣的大背景下,錢花出去了才是自己的東西,在這樣的大環境下省錢一定會越來越窮

另一方面,這個時代最大的保值增值方式是投資自己,一切都會改變,唯有增加自己的實力和能力不會改變,通過學習,通過投資自己讓實力提升,可能才是應對未來一切變化的真正不二法門。

迎接深港通,2017年私募明天正式開始。可電郵查詢


FDT集團香港.上海.杭州.深圳.台北

香港金融數據技術有限公司|Financial Data Technologies Limited FDTFinancial Data Technologies的縮寫,代表三個核心組織板塊。 FDT的業務致力於構建金融生態,打造金融跑道。透過長期的金融教育項目「FDT金融創新工場」,在全球範圍內致力於培養金融交易人才,普及金融實踐教育,同時透過集團旗下各種金融牌照業務、大數據團隊和IT系統的持續投入,為全球交易員團隊和優秀基金經理提供專業的交易通道和電子商務式的金融平台,為客戶提供全球資產配置的財富管家服務。

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為一根據《證券及期貨條例》獲發牌進行第一類 (證券交易)及第四類 (就證券提供意見)受規管活動之持牌法團。是香港聯合交易所之參與者,為專業機構和個人客戶提供連通港股、滬港通、深港通、美股以至全球市場經紀和證券交易服務。隨著滬港通和深港通的開通,香港將繼續加強作為國際金融中心的定位。 FDT證券立足香港,專注為高淨值客戶提供一對一的、一站式的財富管家服務,以及為機構客戶提供連通港股和全球資本市場高速低延時的交易通道和平台,力爭成為機構客戶首選投資兩岸三地和全球市場的金融跑道、高淨值客戶進行海外資產配置的最佳一站式券商平台。

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是一個以培養金融人才為出發點的公益專案,是投資交易愛好者的專屬全球化社交網路,目的是發掘、培養和成就優秀操盤手。FDT操盤手App是為普通用戶量身打造的免費交易學習與實踐的金融類軟體。

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是一款快速高效的金融交易APP,覆蓋了全球金融市場的主要交易類型。用戶不僅可以在APP裡學習金融知識,基於實時金融市場數據進行模擬交易訓練,獲得收益提成,還可以開戶進行實盤交易,斬獲高額利潤。 FDT操盤手具有金融社交功能,在交易之餘,用戶還可以與來自世界各地懷有同樣金融夢想的投資愛好者、職業交易員以及金融界投資人士直接交流。

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一站式財富管理移動端軟體,投資組合的狀況一目了然,具有港股、滬港通、美股的交易功能,並支援銀證轉帳,通過App轉換,無須費用、立即到帳,並具備與理財經理的即時通信功能。



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最客觀交易能力及勝任力評估體系 FDT交易能力評分,是基於牛津大學NIE金融大數據實驗室研究的FDT勝任力模型,通過分析用戶在FDT操盤手上的每一筆交易記錄,得出有針對性的交易能力得分和勝任力評估報告。用戶可以全面直觀地了解自己在投資交易方面的優勢與不足。揚長避短,對自己的投資適當的調整,提升操盤能力,找到專屬的、有效的交易法與策略。

FDT全球大學生投資大賽|FDT World Trading Cup


2016814日,首屆FDT全球大學生投資大賽、FDT-清華全球高校量化投資大賽在上海舉行決賽及頒獎典禮。是為大學生量身打造,獨家免費提供實盤交易機會的投資類比賽。歷時1年多,舉行上百場比賽,有來自全球100多個國家和地區,3萬多名大學生選手參與,比賽總獎金近百萬元,獲勝團隊獲得實盤基金。未來FDT還將繼續舉辦這類比賽,支持大學生成就金融創業夢想。

Friday, November 25, 2016

Better times seen for MSC this year

Lets remind ourselves again
THE sharp recovery in the global tin prices is a boon for tin miner and metal producer, Malaysia Smelting Corp Bhd (MSC).

Its share price in recent months has been on an uptrend touching a high of RM3.26 on Sept 8 from a low of RM2.21 on Feb 3 before settling two sen higher at RM3.20 on Thursday.
Year-to-date, the price of tin has risen by over 30%. The metal is currently trading at US$19,200-US$19,270 per tonne range on the London Metal Exchange (LME) and Kuala Lumpur Tin Market (KLTM).
According to industry observers, the fortunes of MSC are set to take a turn for the better this year after experiencing a 6-1/2 year slump in global tin prices.
 
Since early this year, tin has climbed steadily following declining supplies from the world’s top producing countries China and Indonesia.
The LME tin stocks in its warehouses are also depleting, down by 20% to about 4,460 tonnes in September from a month earlier.
MSC is the world’s second largest tin mining and smelting group with an annual refined tin production of over 30,000 tonnes.
It has an international smelting operation in Butterworth and tin mining operation is managed by its subsidiary Rahman Hydraulic Tin Sdn Bhd (RHT).
With tin prices improving, MSC chief executive officer, Chua Cheong Yong (pic) is optimistic that MSC international smelting plant and RHT mines are expected to perform satisfactorily and will generate strong cash flows for the current financial year ending Dec 31.
“While the overall refined tin production is not likely to change much, profit margin, especially on the mining side, will see some expansion in the environment of higher tin prices,” he adds.
Chua tells StarBizWeek: “We will continue to subscribe to the commodity price cycles model and, in our view, the main challenge for any resource based industry is to be able to build a business model and structure that will be resilient enough to ride through these cycles.”
“The current rally for tin is more supply driven rather than demand related. While tin demand is currently stable, the growth potential is expected to be realised only in the mid-term scenario as tin use in energy related industrial applications, particularly in the battery sector, gathers momentum.
Chua says MSC has been resilient to withstand the severe down cycle, particularly in 2015, which caused significant operating losses and large asset impairments by major global mining and commodity trading companies alike.
The management’s initiatives last year at implementing cost-cutting measures and being frugal in expenditure have strengthened the Group.
“Despite the difficult and challenging market environment in 2015 our core operations, were able to achieve commendable performances and the Group’s cash and liquidity positions have continued to remain strong.”
MSC’s financial position continues to be healthy as the operations generated strong cash flows of RM90.8mil in the first half of 2016.
In June this year, MSC has proposed to acquire Metal Reclamation Industries Sdn Bhd (MRI) through its wholly-owned subsidiary MSmelt Sdn Bhd for RM50mil in cash.
Chua says: “Therefore, the company’s current year focus will be to complete the acquisition by fourth quarter of this year.”
“As a result we will not, in the near term, be actively seeking for new tin investments opportunities.”
Chua explains further that one of the current company’s priorities is to complete the MRI acquisition and then to adapt and convert the MRI plant for tin smelting and integrate it into the group’s international tin smelting operations.
The MRI plant, which is located in Pulau Indah, possesses the new generation smelting technology which is a more comprehensive and efficient smelting process as compared to MSC Group’s smelting facility in Butterworth.
Besides more superior cost and operating parameters, the new technology is also better suited to address the increasingly stringent environmental requirements.
He also says: “We believe this technology will propel MSC Smelting Division into a more sustainable and competitive custom smelting force in the global tin industry.”
For Rahman Hydraulic Tin , the exploration programme to expand the mine’s resource base is ongoing, says Chua adding that: “We hope to be able to complete the programme in the near term. These priorities should keep us busy at least for the next couple of years.”
Having said that, Chua adds the group will still continue to invest in its future, even at times when (tin) prices are low.
Besides ongoing exploration programmes to expand the group’s tin resources, MSC has also participated in the private placement of Alphamin Resources Corp in 2015 to increase its equity interest in the company to 5%.
Alphamin is a Toronto Venture Exchange listed developer of the Bisie project, a very high grade tin prospect located in Democratic Republic of Congo.
“We believe the small entry investment will provide MSC Group with favourable and interesting growth opportunities when the cycle turns.”
“The movement in commodity prices, the stability of the local currency and any major policy adjustments in the advanced and emerging economies will continue to have impact on the group performances in today’s challenging macroeconomic environment,” adds Chua.